Altseason is coming — and traders are more discerning this time

Early signs of an altcoin rotation are appearing as traders allocate capital across varied sectors rather than a single theme. Over the past 30 days large gains have been recorded in tokens from memecoin launchpads to DeFi, privacy and AI projects, with some market participants highlighting a shift toward revenue-generating protocols.

By AI Newsroom· Reviewed by Pranav, Founder & Editor-in-ChiefPublished 3 minutes agoUpdated 3 minutes ago0 views
Altseason is coming — and traders are more discerning this time

Why It Matters

If capital continues to funnel into tokens tied to onchain revenue and real-world use cases, this cycle could differ from prior altseasons that were dominated by speculative memecoin rallies; current data shows concentration around a smaller set of assets and stronger retail buying activity.

Key Facts

  • Biggest 30-day gainers (examples): PONS +350%, UNI +110%, ARB +150%, NEAR +180% (CoinMarketCap)
  • Zcash milestone: Zcash exceeded $1,600, a record high last week
  • CoinMarketCap altseason index: 64 out of 100 (threshold 75 for official altseason)
  • Top-10 altcoin concentration: Top 10 altcoins account for ~80% of altcoin market capitalization, up from ~70% at end of 2024 (Talos)
  • Dealer participation in trading: Dealer share fell from ~65% at end of 2024 to ~32% in September (Talos)

Traders are beginning to rotate into a broader set of altcoins, with recent activity showing large price moves across disparate sectors. Over the past 30 days memecoin launchpad PONS led gains of roughly 350%, while established DeFi and layer-2 tokens such as Uniswap’s UNI and Arbitrum’s ARB rose about 110% and 150% respectively; NEAR, which has AI focus, climbed near 180%. Privacy coins and other niche assets have also seen strength — Zcash traded above $1,600, a fresh high. Market participants and data providers describe the current pattern as more selective than past cycles. Bankless host David Hoffman and others point to significant rallies in tokens tied to onchain revenue — examples cited include ARB, UNI, JUP and ONDO — arguing these projects generate measurable income. Talos’ Samar Sen and 1inch co-founder Sergej Kunz both note that buyers are concentrating on specific narratives and ecosystems rather than broad-based exposure, with more wallets purchasing a wider set of tokens but typically in smaller amounts. The composition of recent winners reflects competing themes rather than a single dominant trade. Talos highlights strong flows into revenue-generating protocols, onchain perpetuals and DeFi projects (HYPE, LIT, UNI, MORPHO), while privacy assets (ZEC, NEAR, XMR), AI-adjacent tokens (VVV, TAO), memecoin launchpads (PUMP, PONS) and tokenized stocks and gold have also drawn buying. Among the top 20 weekly gainers, only two were memecoins and Pudgy Penguins made the list, suggesting memecoins are not the sole driver. Structural market changes may be influencing this rotation. Talos data shows the top 10 altcoins now represent a larger share of altcoin market capitalization, and dealer participation in altcoin trading has declined markedly — from about 65% late last year to roughly 32% in September — even as flows exhibited a persistent buying tilt. Some market figures, including Curve founder Michael Egorov, point to increasing interest in protocols that connect crypto infrastructure to external financial activity, which could broaden demand if it continues to develop. At the same time, CoinMarketCap’s altseason index stands at 64, below the 75 level that would mark an official altseason, leaving the overall picture still in flux.

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