Bitcoin is about to get a major bullish signal it hasn't had in over a year

Bitcoin's 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are one crossover away from forming a fully bullish alignment for the first time since June 24, 2025, a configuration traders view as a sign of broad upward momentum. The potential signal comes after a roughly three-month recovery that pushed BTC up more than 40% in Q3 to around $87,000, though recent gains have stalled near $85,000 as the U.S. dollar strengthened.

By AI Newsroom· Reviewed by Pranav, Founder & Editor-in-ChiefPublished about 2 hours agoUpdated about 2 hours ago0 views

Bitcoin is about to get a major bullish signal it hasn't had in over a year

Why It Matters

A full 50>100>200-day moving-average stack historically has preceded both extended rallies and short-lived advances, so its confirmation would strengthen the technical case that bitcoin's recent recovery is intact while still leaving outcome dependent on price action going forward.

Key Facts

Source: CoinDesk (Oct 5, 2026)
Current bitcoin price (as reported): $85,953.66
Q3 price gain: More than 40% to about $87,000
50-day moving average: $79,495
100-day moving average: $79,493

Bitcoin's key short-, medium- and long-term simple moving averages are close to aligning in a fully bullish order for the first time since mid-2025. As of the CoinDesk report on Oct. 5, 2026, the 50-day average sits at roughly $79,495 and is already above the 100-day figure; the 100-day, at $79,493, is approaching the 200-day, reported at $79,539. If the 100-day moves above the 200-day, the averages will stack 50>100>200, a configuration traders interpret as short-, medium- and long-term trends all pointing higher.

Traders use moving-average crossovers to gauge trend direction: when shorter-term averages sit above longer-term ones, it indicates recent prices outpacing older levels and signals upward momentum. CoinDesk quoted Giottus CEO Vikram Subburaj saying the crossover would restore that ordered alignment for the first time since June 24, 2025, and that the signal confirms the three-month recovery has endured.

Bitcoin climbed more than 40% during the third quarter to about $87,000, but that advance has lately run into resistance around $85,000 amid a stronger U.S. Dollar Index. Historical context is mixed: prior 50>100>200-day alignments have at times preceded major multi-month rallies (for example, late 2020 into mid-2021 and November 2023 into May 2024) but have also been followed by only brief or modest gains (such as June 2025 and June 2024 setups).

Market participants quoted in the article noted that while the crossover would bolster the technical case for a sustained uptrend, it would not guarantee continuation. The next, practical test identified by analysts is whether bitcoin can hold above its 50-day average during any correction, which would help determine if the alignment evolves into a lasting bull-market structure or remains a short-lived signal.