Family offices are clamoring for AI investments
Wealthy family offices are increasingly channeling capital into artificial intelligence deals, favoring direct purchases of existing private-company shares or bespoke transactions over traditional blind-pool venture commitments. Advisors and reports say this shift is driven by the prospect of faster, larger returns and ample available capital, even as some warn the move echoes past cycles of enthusiasm and pullback.

Why It Matters
Family offices collectively control trillions in assets and a sustained pivot into AI could reshape private-market deal dynamics, valuation levels, and the role of venture funds. Whether this represents a durable reallocation of long-term private-wealth strategies or a repeat of earlier booms and busts will affect liquidity and pricing across the startup ecosystem.
Key Facts
- Family office assets (2024, Deloitte): $5.5 trillion
- Deloitte projection for family office assets by 2030: At least $9.5 trillion
- Average family office portfolio allocation to alternatives (UBS 2026 report): 42%
- Average net worth of family offices surveyed in UBS 2026 report: $2.7 billion
- Peak family office deal activity (2021, PwC): 17,460 deals worth roughly $1.05 trillion
Family offices are increasingly prioritizing investments tied to artificial intelligence, often pursuing direct exposures rather than committing capital to traditional venture funds. Advisors report clients are prepared to buy secondary stakes in private AI companies or strike one-off direct deals so they can target single-name winners and retain control over deployment of capital. The appeal is partly practical: when presented with faster potential returns, many family offices opt for deals that promise quicker payoffs.
This reorientation is occurring against a backdrop of substantial resources. Deloitte estimated family offices oversaw $5.5 trillion in 2024 and projected that figure could rise to at least $9.5 trillion by 2030. UBS’s 2026 Global Family Office Report found alternatives now comprise about 42% of the average family office portfolio, reflecting growing allocations to private equity, venture capital, and private credit.
The pattern echoes earlier cycles of heightened direct investing. Direct activity rose through the late 2010s and surged in 2021, when direct deals represented 13% of the average family office portfolio and total deal activity peaked at roughly $1.05 trillion globally. That boom reversed as rising interest rates and weak returns on some direct bets prompted a rapid pullback; by late 2023 direct and M&A activity had fallen sharply and overall deal volume hit a decade low in early 2025. Now deal flow is recovering, with buyers writing larger checks into fewer transactions.
Much of the current activity is concentrated in the secondary market, where family offices can acquire stakes in companies that already show customer traction and revenue, which some advisors view as a lower-risk route into venture. Advisors described strong client demand for high-profile AI positions; one said he fielded inquiries over the summer from investors seeking $50 million to $100 million secondary purchases in Anthropic. Reports from J.P. Morgan and UBS show many family offices plan to prioritize AI despite concerns about elevated valuations, and that they are attempting to balance concentrated AI exposure with geographic and asset-class diversification.
Observers caution that this surge could be another episode in a recurring pattern: high enthusiasm and capital deployment followed by reassessment when macro conditions or returns shift. Whether the current surge into AI marks a lasting strategic realignment for family offices or a cyclical tilt that will later moderate remains an open question for wealth managers and the broader private markets they increasingly influence.
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Original source: TechCrunch