Graham, Andrews neck and neck in South Carolina Senate race: Poll
A Trafalgar Group survey released Saturday found Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.) leading Democratic challenger Annie Andrews by one percentage point among likely South Carolina voters, within a roughly 2.9-point margin of error. The poll shows about 8% of respondents undecided and roughly 6% choosing another candidate.

Why It Matters
The result highlights how competitive the special-election contest for the late Sen. Lindsey Graham’s seat has become, with multiple recent polls showing narrow margins that fall within their respective error ranges. A close outcome would determine which party controls a Senate seat in a state Republicans have held for more than two decades.
Key Facts
- Pollster: Trafalgar Group (right-leaning)
- Reported lead: Darline Graham by 1 point
- Margin of error: Approximately ±2.9 percentage points
- Sample size: 1,087 likely voters
- Field dates: Sept. 23-25, 2026 (survey period)
A Trafalgar Group poll released Saturday evening shows Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.) holding a one-point edge over Democrat Annie Andrews in the race for South Carolina’s Senate seat, a gap that falls within the survey’s roughly 2.9-point margin of error. The poll sampled 1,087 likely voters between Sept. 23 and Sept. 25 and found about 8% of respondents undecided and around 6% indicating they would vote for another candidate. Recent polling has shown a close contest: an earlier InsiderAdvantage survey this month put Graham up by two points, while a mid-August Impact Research poll sponsored by Andrews’ campaign recorded the race as tied. The proximity of those results underscores how narrowly divided the electorate appears to be heading into the special election. Graham was appointed by Gov. Henry McMaster (R) to fill the seat left vacant after the death of her brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), and is campaigning for a six-year term in the Senate. She won the GOP nomination after defeating Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.) in a runoff that drew former President Donald Trump’s endorsement and a late-campaign visit. Andrews, a pediatrician and the Democratic nominee, has positioned herself toward the political center and criticized Graham’s recent Senate votes, including opposing an Iran war powers resolution. Andrews has described Medicare for All as outdated policy while saying healthcare should be treated as a human right and advocating pragmatic reforms to the system.
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