Talarico leads Paxton by 2 points in tightening Texas Senate race: Survey
A Fox News survey shows Texas state Rep. James Talarico (D) holding a narrow two-point lead over state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) among likely voters in a tightening Texas Senate contest. The margin sits inside the polls 3-point sampling error, indicating the race remains close.
Why It Matters
Control of this Texas Senate seat could affect state political dynamics, and a lead within the poll's margin of error signals an outcome that could shift with small voter movements or late campaigning. Close statewide or high-profile legislative races can also influence party messaging and resource allocation ahead of the election.
Key Facts
- Pollster: Fox News
- Race: Texas state Senate (contest between James Talarico and Ken Paxton)
- Leading candidate: James Talarico (D) leads by 2 points
- Margin of error: 3 percentage points
- Sample description: Survey conducted among likely voters (excerpt notes: "Among likely voters polled, 51 percent..." — full breakdown not provided in source excerpt)
A new Fox News poll shows a closely contested Texas Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. The survey found Talarico ahead by two percentage points, a margin that falls within the poll's stated 3-point margin of error.
The poll focused on likely voters, and the supplied excerpt begins to report the sample's breakdown with the phrase "Among likely voters polled, 51 percent..." but the remainder of that sentence and the full vote shares for each candidate were not included in the material provided. Because the lead is smaller than the margin of error, the result indicates a statistical tie rather than a decisive advantage.
A race this close suggests both campaigns may intensify outreach and advertising as election day approaches, while political observers will likely watch for subsequent polls to see whether the margin widens or narrows. The Fox News survey provides a snapshot of voter preferences at the time it was conducted, but its inside-the-margin lead underscores that the contest remains competitive.
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