Crypto traders are in risk-on mode as bitcoin dominance nears return to 60%
Bitcoin climbed about 3.4% to trade above $86,000 as traders added risk exposure ahead of Friday’s U.S. jobs report. The coin’s share of the overall crypto market is approaching 60% while USDT’s share has fallen to roughly 6.3%, signaling a shift from stablecoins into tokens. Rising derivatives activity and a surge in liquidations point to increased leveraged bullish positioning and heightened near-term volatility.

Why It Matters
Shifts in bitcoin dominance and stablecoin share are common market indicators of investor risk appetite; combined with rising open interest, funding rates and large intraday liquidations, they suggest positioning that could amplify moves around key macroeconomic releases like the U.S. payrolls and upcoming CPI reports.
Key Facts
- Bitcoin price move: Up 3.4%, trading above $86,000 (as of 9:10 UTC)
- Bitcoin dominance: Closing in on 60% of total crypto market capitalization
- USDT market share: Slipped to around 6.3%
- U.S. jobs consensus: Economists expect 90,000 nonfarm payrolls added in September (vs. 162,000 in August)
- BTC open interest: Rose to $22.4 billion from $20.9 billion the prior day
Bitcoin led broad crypto gains on Friday, trading above $86,000 after a 3.4% intraday rise as markets awaited the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. Traders and analysts noted that bitcoin’s share of total crypto market capitalization is nearing 60%, while the largest dollar-pegged stablecoin, USDT, has seen its share fall to about 6.3% — a combination that market participants interpret as investors reducing cash exposure and rotating into tokens. Derivatives metrics show traders are adding leverage to bullish bets. BTC open interest increased to $22.4 billion from $20.9 billion the previous day, funding rates spiked on some venues (about 9–10% annualized on Hyperliquid and OKX), and the three-month annualized basis on Deribit remained above 6%. Options flow was strongly call-skewed, with a 24-hour put/call ratio favoring calls by 88%. Heightened positioning coincided with a sharp rise in liquidations: Coinglass reported about $344 million wiped out in the prior 24 hours (up from roughly $100 million), with BTC ($132 million) and ETH ($70 million) leading notional losses. Exchange-level data highlighted $87,400 as a key liquidation cluster on Binance to watch in the event of further price moves. Macro factors remain a focal point. Economists polled by FactSet expected the U.S. to have added 90,000 jobs in September and for the unemployment rate to remain near 4.1%. Traders and some analysts emphasized how payrolls and the mid-October consumer price index could influence longer-dated Treasury yields — especially inflation-adjusted yields — and thereby affect bitcoin’s trajectory. Market-implied odds of an October Fed rate hike had fallen to about 30% after recent dovish comments from Fed officials, a dynamic that has been supportive of risk assets including crypto.
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